Jacek Bartosiak and Albert Świdziński of Strategy&Future, a Warsaw-based think tank, discuss the shaky and wobbly U.S. strategy toward Ukraine (Video)
00:00 Introduction
00:45 The changing U.S. posture toward Ukraine
01:51 The end of American primacy
03:10 A concert of powers and spheres of influence
04:05 Why the U.S. cannot contain China
05:16 Ukraine and the collapse of the old order
06:35 The pre-war U.S. strategy toward Europe
08:45 A calibrated failure of deterrence?
11:05 Ukraine as a proxy war
12:35 American control of the escalation ladder
14:46 Ukraine’s growing strategic independence
16:10 Europe realizes it may be “on the menu”
17:25 Trump’s attempt to pull Russia away from China
19:31 Wess Mitchell and the sequencing strategy
21:10 Ukraine as Russia’s potential Afghanistan
22:10 Why Washington neither deterred nor appeased Russia
24:10 U.S. intelligence disclosures before the invasion
25:50 Did Washington push Moscow toward war?
27:05 Biden and the management of escalation
28:35 The gap between American ambitions and capabilities
Strategy&Future
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