Strategy&Future

Earlier this month, I participated in a debate at a fairly large event, which is the annual Warsaw Security Forum. The debate concerned the shape of the new strategic concept of the North Atlantic Alliance, which would be a document navigating us through increasingly turbulent times. Apart from the moderator and me, the debate was attended by representatives of the NATO bureaucracy and a very famous expert-analyst of international affairs from Germany. In the course of this discussion, something became clear to me and it was ultimately a very sad observation.

Forming new alliances like AUKUS or the QUAD does not mean creating new blocs. “Inter-epoch” alliances, for the time in which we find ourselves, will be less formalised and more loosely structured. “Old” blocs such as NATO or the European Union noticeably lose their maneuverability. They are slow to react and difficult to reform. New alliances, on the other hand, may be less durable despite their flexibility and suddenly end their lives. We must therefore be ready for many sudden twists and turns in world politics.

Jacek Bartosiak talks to Professor Dr Julian Lindley-French (Senior Fellow of the Institute of Statecraft, Director of Europa Analytica & Distinguished Visiting Research Fellow, National Defense University, Washington DC) on the future of Europe, cohesion of West, NATO capabilities, Poland’s and Eastern NATO flank security.

The New Generation Warfare (NGW) revolution is not only exclusively about warfare but is about the comprehensive revolution inside the entire military realm and in the supplementary sectors. In history, we have witnessed at least several NGW revolutions and every revolution had its own historical, social, and technological specificities.

(Fot. Wikimedia Commons)

Jacek Bartosiak talks to James Rogers on the European security following Biden’s visit to Europe.

After the recent talks between Blinken and Lavrov, and the US and Germany getting along over Nordstream, we smelled Rapallo. Obviously different than 100 years ago, but the mechanism is similar.

In autumn, the situation in the region deteriorated. On September 27th, the month and a half long Nagorno-Karabakh War began. The geopolitical consequences of the war were detrimental for Armenia, and have not been settled so far. The country fell totally under the control of Moscow, hence increasing Russian military presence in the Southern Caucasus.

Europe is part of “Western civilisation”, to which, apart from Europe itself, it is customary to include all its (regrettably, usually evolved as a result of rape) “children”: primarily North America, with the United States as a global power, and Latin America, with Brazil growing in importance in the global puzzle, as well as the area of ​​Australia and Oceania.