Strategy&Future

This report presents a strategic simulation of a future crisis centered on the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad/Królewiec and explores whether an informal regional coalition — the “Baltic Axis” of Poland, Sweden, Finland, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia, working closely with Ukraine and in strategic partnership with Turkey — could functionally isolate the oblast through a political-military “quarantine"...

Jacek Bartosiak and Albert Swidzinski of Strategy&Future on Królewiec (Kaliningrad) Enclave as Poland’s Hormuz

“Królewiec (Kaliningrad) Campaign: The Capacity for Asymmetric Escalation”

Jacek Bartosiak and Albert Świdziński of Strategy&Future on the future of Kaliningrad Enclave as strategic asset for Poland.

Lose the war - win the peace? Jacob Shapiro welcomes Jacek Bartosiak of Strategy&Future onto the show to discuss the Russia-Ukraine war and the evolution of the multipolar geopolitical system. Jacek makes his case that a systemic, global war has already begun – and warns the U.S. what will happen if it indulges in hubris and pushes too hard on President Trump’s “America First” rhetoric.

Jacek Bartosiak talks to Julian Lindley-French on the grim future of Europe.

Jacek Bartosiak and Jacob Shapiro in Geopolitics Talks – on Ukraine, Poland and US extended deterrence in Europe.

The Times of the Troubles has one additional feature: the erection of an enormous and sophisticated system of fortifications and military bases along the entire geopolitical zone of contact, that stretched hundreds of kilometres. The concentration of defence lines and fortifications was maybe the greatest in Europe.

The Eternal Return of Eastern Europe, or the tidal fluctuations of turmoil and wartime (Times of Trouble), can be outlined through five fundamental principles.

December 2024. Chancellery of the Prime Minister, Warsaw, Aleje Ujazdowskie. A few days before Christmas. One o’clock in the morning. The outgoing President of the United States is trying to call the Prime Minister of the Republic of Poland to let him know that war has broken out in the Western Pacific.

I present an alternative course of history. What if the Russians had achieved their goals and seized Kyiv in February 2022 in a brilliant four-day campaign and, as a result, established a sympathetic government fully implementing Moscow’s will? The story begins on 28th February 2022.

Military strategy is how the military is prepared, deployed, trained and exercised. Above all, it consists in the long-term development of broadly understood capabilities, which nowadays are more appropriately referred to as the “state resilience system” — so that these activities have a positive impact on our foreign policy, i.e. on our “room for manoeuvre.” For a military strategy to be credible in times of war and anarchy of the international system, when military violence is the final arbiter, a kind of supreme court between states that are in a dispute over which of them will push through its agency (and such times have come), our politicians in Warsaw must have the characterological and mental ability to make a decision, for example, about the killing of Wagnerians carrying out an armed raid on one of the towns of Podlasie.